A government shutdown negatively effects the establishment and the bureaucracy. A government shutdown exemplifies the ability of the people to care for themselves. A government shutdown takes power away from the government and grants that power to the people.
A recession negatively effects the population. A recession empowers the government, since during every recession, the people have looked to the government to take care of them.
So, a government shutdown gives the power to the people, an economic recession gives the power to the government.
I guess the only question remaining is…who do you trust, yourself or the government?
A government shutdown negatively effects those who do not work (the greatest percentage anyway).
An economic recession negatively effects all who do work.